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The topics and opinions expressed in the following show are
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solely those of the hosts and their guests and not
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those of W FOURCY Radio. It's employees are affiliates. We
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make no recommendations or endorsements for radio show programs, services,
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or products mentioned on air or on our web. No liability,
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explicit or implied shall be extended to W FOURCY Radio
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or it's employees are affiliates. Any questions or comments should
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be directed to those show hosts. Thank you for choosing
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W FOURCY Radio.
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Welcome to Powerful Business Strategies, where you will find out
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that everything you have ever learned about growing your business
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is wrong. Finally, a show where you'll learn the right
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way to grow your business by learning business and financial
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strategies that your competition isn't doing. And now here is
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your host. President of NeXTSTEP CFO Michael Barbarita and joining
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Michael for today's show as an executive moderator is chooky obio.
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Yes, this is chookey, and I believe that gratitude is
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undefeated and growth is about the next step. So look,
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it is an honor to moderate today's discussion with my
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good friend Michael.
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Michael how are you fantastic? How you doing it? Okay?
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Doing well? Look a last star week in July, and
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it's been a phenomenal month from a lot of the
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professional networking and conversations that we've been having with business
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owners and business leaders. So really excited, Michael.
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Excellent, excellent.
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Likewise well, as Chukey said, my name is Michael bober Reader,
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a Next Step CFO, and Next Step CFO is a
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fractional CFO and strategic implementation firm. Our vision is to
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ensure overwhelmed business owners achieve the time, freedom, and consistent
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profits to build a legacy and the life they desire.
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Our mission is dedicated to guiding small business owners to
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leveraging their time, exploding their profit, and build a meaningful legacy.
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The show Powerful Business Strategies in our book of the
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same name, is a step toward accomplishing that vision and mission.
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And so with that, I'd like to hand it back
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to my co author and moderator for the show, Chooky obm.
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Thank you, Michael. So a bit of housekeeping. Folks, very
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excited about today's episode. It's called three Compelling Reasons for
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a Business and cash flow Forecast. We'll start with a story,
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we'll go through some strategies, and then we'll end today's
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session with a new segment which is highly in demand
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from a number of business owners that tune in. It's
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called our Business Compliments segments. So very excited to get
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to that. Quick disclaimer, folks, Michael and I are both
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affiliated with a number of different organizations and I currently
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serve as the managing director of business Development for Veta Price,
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a global business focused law firm. In addition to that,
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I collaborate strategically with Michael to moderate business roundtables really
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all around the country, as well as to document the
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best practices from those roundtables as part of our book,
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Powerful Business Strategies. But please note that today's show and
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the opinions and insights expressed are based on our learnings
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and insights from our successful experiences through the decades. So again,
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very excited about today's show. In my mission as a
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fearless moderators to ask the right questions and to help
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you as a listener, and to help me and help
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us learn the best business strategies that the competition isn't doing.
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With that, I'll toss it back over to Michael.
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Thank you, jokey.
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Yes, you know when I say you're only one forecast away,
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why do I say that? What does it really mean? Well,
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over the next few minutes you'll discover about how you're
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only one forecast away from gaining a greater understanding and
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complete control over your business, your business goals and objectives.
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But before I do that, as everybody probably knows, the
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ski retail business is a seasonal business. So for those
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of you who haven't heard prior episodes, I was in
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the ski retail business in the eighties and the vast
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majority of the ski retail businesses in the industry, at
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least at that time, and I'm pretty sure it hasn't
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changed much since they used a line of credit so
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they could deal with the seasonality of the ski business.
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Interesting, Yeah, makes sense.
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You know, it is a seasonal business and so there's
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cash fluctuations chooking. We were the only ski retail business
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in the country that I knew of that never ever
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used or needed to use that line of credit. Now,
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we had a four hundred thousand dollars line of credit,
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but it was only there if there was a real catastrophe.
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Never ever used it. Yeah, And the and the reason
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was is. We had a business and cash flow forecast,
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and let me tell you why.
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That was the reason.
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The business and cash flow forecast can identify the most
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effective business model you can have, and that's what it
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did for us.
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Uh.
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The forecast told me that I shouldn't go into an
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off season summer business. It told me that I shouldn't
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sell bikes in the summertime. It showed me. It told
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me I shouldn't sell aqua lungus in the summertime. I
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shouldn't sell third for it. The forecast told me this
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because through multiple what if scenarios, the forecast could tell
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you the most effective business model you can have. And
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the forecast told me to close in the off season completely.
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Uh.
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You see, And no matter how rosy a picture I
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paid with counter seasonal business, it produced carryover inventory, and
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that carryover inventory could kill cash flow. And that was
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just one of the contributing factors. There were many others
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that the forecast told me not to go forward and sell.
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Summer goods in the summertime.
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So despite being closed four months out of the year,
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we never needed our line of credit. And the forecast
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told us three critical things. The first was close four
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months out of the year. The second was no matter what,
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and the ski season with a certain amount of inventory,
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and don't go over that amount because then we would
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be in so called the danger zone where we would
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end up with potential cash flow problems. And then do
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what you do best. Was the other lesson that or
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the other item that the forecast told us, and forget
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about the summer stuff.
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Do what you do best.
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And by following the forecast, that reduced our risk and
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maximize our profits and cash flow. So it was really
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it was a game changer, and and many of my
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clients look at it that way as well. And you see, Choky,
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if we know what tomorrow will bring, there are huge
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opportunities to minimize costs and maximize profits. But unfortunately we
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don't know what tomorrow will bring, and that's why we forecast.
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So what is a rolling business and cash flow forecast? Well,
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a rolling business and cash flow forecast is an ongoing
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blueprint that numerically and financially describes the most effective business
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model you can have and what that model will look
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like in the future, all supported by a solid set
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of assumptions. And here's a key word that I said,
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and that was rolling. And that's important because we just
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don't prepare a forecast and throw it in a drawer.
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We use it as an ongoing blueprint. When the actual
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results for the month are realized, we plug those actual
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results into the forecast and let those actual results roll
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forward and see what the impact is on the remainder
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of the forecast. See what changes, see what? See what maybe?
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And sometimes it doesn't change because your actual results were
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very close to what the forecast showed.
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UH. And one more thing, A.
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Business and cash flow forecast must must include a forecasted
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p and L, a forecasted balance sheet, and a forecasted
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statement of cash flows. Without these three components all flowing together,
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the forecast is rendered useless.
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UH.
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For example, cash is on the balance sheet, so if
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you don't have a forecasted balance sheet, you don't know
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what the impact is on cash and cash flow. So
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there are many times when business owners try to get
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away with just a forecasted P and L, But with
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a forecasted p and L, you really don't know what
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your impact is on cash. And so it's important that
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all three statements are incorporated into the forecast.
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Yeah, this is interesting, and Michael, we're getting some really
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good comments here, comments and a mix of questions as well,
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so we'll absolutely get to those. Maybe to take a
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couple of steps back right. Part of the impetus for
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this is the business roundtable conversations Michael, that you and
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I have had, and even taking quite a few business
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owners through the book interview. There's this sense that these
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business owners didn't quite have a grasp on the numbers.
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Yeah, it showed it.
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They basically show that they are they want to avoid
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the numbers at all costs, and this is a process
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and you know, most business owners need help with this.
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It's not that the business owners expected to prepare a
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forecasted p and L, a forecasted balance sheet, and the
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forecasted statement of cash flows.
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Yeah, I didn't know whether you had a financial quiz
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at the end of this place. Get a little nervous.
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Yeah, no, you know, it's the numbers scare a lot
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of business owners, they really do. But unfortunately, the data
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and the numbers and the data are critical if you're
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going to be the CEO of your company. And that
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and the business owners that I deal with, the business
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owners that we've talked to, the business owners that we've
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been debuted are all the CEOs of their company.
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So they really need to get into the numbers a
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little bit.
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And you know, we talked about things like be like
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the vital five for example, you know, sales, gross profit,
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gross profit, percent net profit in cash. If business owners
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just knew those five numbers, that's it. If they just
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knew those five numbers at all times, it would help
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them make decisions and so and so that takes away,
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that takes away some of the impact or some of
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the fear that the business owners would have and the numbers.
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If you just understand those five numbers, you can make
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excellent decisions. And that's all what financial is all about.
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It's it's it's understanding your financial situation so that you
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can make wise and timely business decisions.
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And I want to pick up on that point, uh, Michael,
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and go to a couple of questions here. So one
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question is, as a very busy business owner running a
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number of different types of products and services, how can
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the business cash flow forecast help me make better decisions
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across business units. So that's one slice of the question, Michael,
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and let's maybe just take that and then we could
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drill down a bit.
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Well, what I'd like to do is I'm gonna cover
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that in just the next couple of minutes, So I'd
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rather just go through that. If there's another question I
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could answer, I'd be happy to, But otherwise I'm gonna
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cover that.
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Brilliant Michael, Yeah, why don't you power for that? There
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are questions to that?
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All right? Excellent? So first of all, why forecast?
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Well, there are three compelling reasons, as the show is named,
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three compelling reasons why you need a business and cash
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flow forecast, And number one, it helps you gain a
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competitive advantage. Secondly, it helps you understand your business, and
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third it dramatically improves decision making. So those are the
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three compelling reasons, and here are the points that back
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up those reasons. So, first of all, as you say
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are in my ski business example, that you'll discover the
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most successful business model that you can have if you
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have a business and cash flow forecast, and you'll also
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understand that business model's potential.
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Closing the business in the off season seemed absurd.
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To everyone it still does, but the forecast was right.
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Many times business owners are seeking the right business model,
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and the business and cash flow forecast is a perfect tool.
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For identifying us.
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Sit next, know what your and this kind of starts
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to answer that question, shookey, know what your business can
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and cannot afford on an ongoing basis. Out of all
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of the questions that I get asked as a CFO
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and profit growth strategist, that is the number one question question.
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Business owners want to know what they can and can afford.
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Can they afford a new piece of equipment, Can they
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afford a new product line? Can they afford a manager?
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Can they afford to go to a new location. All
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of these questions are at are on their minds, and
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the Business in cash Flow Forecast answers it with a
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high level of accuracy.
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Remarkable, get some nice compliments related to that. Just really
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so that's very insightful was one comment. Another comment is
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I could also see this as a time management tool
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for me as a business.
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Owner, right because you see, you're always as a business owner,
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you're always required to make decisions, and with the Business
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and cash Flow Forecast, the decisions are laid out for
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you very very clearly, and certainly you.
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Might need some help with that, but the help is available.
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And understand that just because the business and cash Flow